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New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.Institution: In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng dropped by 0.57% month-on-month. According to the 100-city price index of China's real estate index system, in November 2024, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in Baicheng fell by 0.57% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.03 percentage points from last month. It fell by 7.29% year-on-year. In November, the average price of second-hand residential buildings in the top ten cities fell by 0.17% month-on-month, which was 0.16 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. It fell by 7.16% year-on-year, and the decline was narrowed by 0.36 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of cities, the prices of second-hand houses in Shenzhen and Chengdu rose by 0.21% and 0.12% respectively. Nanjing had the largest decline from the previous month, with 0.60%; Wuhan, Hangzhou and Tianjin followed closely, with decreases of 0.43%, 0.42% and 0.31% respectively. Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing all experienced month-on-month declines of 0.1%-0.3%; Chongqing (the main city) has the smallest decline of 0.07%. In terms of year-on-year, Wuhan and Nanjing experienced large year-on-year declines, accounting for 10.82% and 10.24% respectively. Chongqing (the main city), Beijing, Hangzhou and Shanghai all experienced year-on-year declines of 7%-9%; The prices of second-hand houses in Tianjin, Guangzhou and Chengdu all fell by 5-7% year-on-year; Shenzhen fell by 4.42% year on year.

Trump appointed TOM BARRACK as the US ambassador to Turkey.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.After the strike ended, the delivery of Boeing aircraft dropped to 13 in November. On Tuesday, Boeing reported that it delivered 13 commercial jets in November, less than a quarter of the 56 jets delivered to customers 12 months ago. The number of deliveries in October decreased from 14 in October, when most of the company's aircraft production was still in a state of suspension, and 33,000 factory workers went on strike for seven weeks, which ended on November 5. Boeing shares closed up 4.5% on Tuesday. The aircraft manufacturer said that after weeks of methodical preparations, the company restarted the production of the 737 MAX and loaded the new fuselage into the Renton factory in Seattle.

Analyst: There may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year. Tan Yiming, chief fixed income analyst of Minsheng Securities, said that there may be a RRR cut of 50 basis points to 100 basis points next year, considering the supply pressure of government bonds, the restoration of credit supply and the provision of long-term stable low-cost funds for financial institutions.Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.The reporter explored: optimizing the transaction structure, the second-hand housing has become a hot spot in the market. "After the recent new property market policy, especially the reduction of transaction tax burden such as value-added tax, the second-hand housing is particularly popular." A senior real estate agent manager in Jindaotian District, Luohu District, Shenzhen, told the reporter, "Take several shed-reformed communities here as an example. Recently, more than 20 second-hand houses can be sold in each community every month. The price is low, the house is new and the location belongs to the urban area, which is very suitable for those who just need to buy a home." According to the data of Shenzhen Zhongyuan Research Center, the unit price of second-hand houses in the range of 40,000 yuan to 60,000 yuan accounted for 32.1% in November, ranking first and the increase was the most obvious. The transaction of new houses with a "building age" of less than 10 years was the most active. The reporter found out that in the second-hand housing market in several key cities, the transactions of new second-hand houses with relatively new "building age" are more active. Take Tianhe Park, a plate with high popularity of second-hand houses in Guangzhou, as an example. According to shell data, 41 sets were sold in this plate in October, a significant increase of 127.8% from the previous month. According to Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, the adjustment of tax policy will accelerate the listing of second-hand houses and good houses, which in turn will help buyers subscribe for second-hand houses and large-sized houses, which will have a positive effect on optimizing the transaction structure of second-hand houses and boosting second-hand housing transactions. (e company)